Tuesday, November 10, 2009

a "Lost" Wednesday: Locke, the Smoke Monster & The Man in Black

Like most people obsessed with this show, I've been trying to figure out this scene ever since I first saw it.



Like nearly everybody else, I've been trying to figure the whole thing out. Who is the man in black who says he wants to kill Jacob? What's preventing him from killing Jacob as he says? What's so special about Locke?

This fan-made speculation video advances at least one theory: the man in the dark suit is the "real face" of the Smoke Monster.



This is a theory I can absolutely buy. The Monster, for the most part, goes after people who "aren't supposed to be there" -- witness its first victim, the pilot of Oceanic 815, who was flying in place of Frank Lapidus.
Another interesting issue: why the Monster chose Locke for his "loophole" mission. Recall that Locke has an interesting history with the Monster -- he was the first of the survivors to see it while out tracking boars, and then it attacked him in the season finale: he refused to run from it, choosing instead to stare it dead in the eyes, and it floated away.
"I believe I was being tested."

Later, he described what he saw to be "a bright light" to Mr. Eko, who said, "That is not what I saw." Later, Locke goes to rescue Eko from a polar bear, only to eventually lose him to the Monster (Eko's dying words: "You're next").
The next time he mentions it is at the beginning of Season 4, while holding Ben at gunpoint -- Ben offered him information, and strangely, the first question of Locke's mouth was, "What is the Monster?"

One other theory I enjoyed, courtesy this video on youtube: the conflict between Jacob & his nemesis is a more cosmic version of the conflict between Jack & Locke (which, as we've argued before, is a microcosm of the conflict between science vs. faith, and predestination vs. freewill). Tell me if there's any parallel between what's going on in this video, and the one we viewed at the beginning of the post.



As always, post your own theories and thoughts in the commentary section. And remember, the finale is right around the corner.

Monday, November 9, 2009

Tuesday 'tube: many happy returns

Editor's Note: To whichever youtube overlord took away all the awesome youtubery that was providing most of the content for this blog ... well, I hope you're proud of yourself. God forbid some of us enjoyed something without paying ESPN and the University $25 every time we turn around.

It's hard to believe, honestly, that this program has come as far as it has in a little over two years. It was, after all, only two years ago at this time, Alabama lost for the second consecutive time to Mississippi State, a loss that was no more or less frustrating than about a dozen other losses this decade (and certainly not nearly as infuriating as the one that came the following week).

It was in that frame of mind that Alabama entered last year's game against Mississippi State. Just like this time, 'Bama was coming off a hard-fought, draining contest against LSU, and just like this time, the SEC West was already firmly in hand.

Listen to Antoine Caldwell early on, and you'll hear exactly what Alabama's motivation was that cold Saturday night.



The game was actually more of a hard-fought affair than either that video or the final score might lead you to believe — State punished Alabama with its run game and actually led at one point by the very unusual score of 7-5.
But, of course, as often happens when a team is losing, State made a critical mistake: in this case, it was kicking to Javier Arenas. The first time, he fielded the ball on a hop and set up a short field for a touchdown. The second time, this happened.



Notice how many tackles 28 broke on that particular return (answer: zero). It's a lot of fun to run around when no one has a chance of actually tackling you.

One more note before I go & let you enjoy your Tuesday: Mississippi State is apparently expecting the largest crowd in school history Saturday, even planning to bring in extra bleachers to accommodate the crowds (yes, just like your high school used to for playoff games). So the atmosphere Saturday should be a great one.
Pardon me while I go try to fight off this queasiness.

Sunday, November 8, 2009

week 10 thoughts: back on top

Ten years actually goes by pretty quick.
I found myself thinking about that while sitting out on Bryant Drive Saturday, watching the procession of crimson & white & purple & gold heading towards Bryant-Denny Stadium, taking the sights, sounds and smells of game day in Tuscaloosa (an experience I can't quantify in words, and words are my profession). Ten years actually went by in a real hurry.

Did you know it's been 10 years since Alabama beat LSU in Tuscaloosa? I did, I guess — LSU's been one of the best programs this decade (arguably THE best) while Alabama has been mired in ... well, whatever the better part of this decade has been. It's not a huge surprise that Alabama hasn't been able to compete with the conference's best.
Still ... 10 years is a long time. I was a freshman in college 10 years ago. I hadn't even met the woman who eventually became my wife. I was living in a dormitory with a dude named Jeremy from Mississippi, spending most of my free time at the Wesley Foundation (across the street from my dorm) with a group of people I'd barely known two months (who would eventually become like my extended family).
In football terms, here's how long ago 10 years is: the coaches the last time Alabama beat LSU in Tuscaloosa were ... Gerry DiNardo & Mike DuBose. Seriously. A few of us had a vague idea of who Nick Saban was, but not well enough to have any strong opinions of him. And certainly none of us had ever heard of Les Miles.
That day in Tuscaloosa was pretty incredible: Alabama, playing without Andrew Zow or Shaun Alexander, took an early lead against a fading LSU team (Saban came the following season) and appeared to be winning comfortably, but the Tigers hit a few plays in the fourth quarter, then suddenly somehow had the ball with a chance to win on their final possession.
Somehow, this happened:



Still one of the more incredible moments in recent Alabama history, considering that a) Josh Booty didn't throw the ball for whatever reason (and he had a man open); b) Marvin Constant ended his career keeping him out of the end zone (he ruptured most of his right leg on the play); c) our friend Koroknay went crazy and doused poor Peter, who's never really forgiven him for it.
And that was 10 years ago.

LSU (the 2009 version) is better than I was willing to admit. In the lead-up to the game, I stubbornly refused to capitulate to them being any good: they hadn't shown me anything terribly impressive, had suspect quarterback play and even more suspect coaching. Moreover, we were playing at home (for whatever that's worth), had two weeks to heal and prepare and had advantages at just about every position. Frankly, I believed, with a break or two early, we might just blow LSU out Saturday.
It became clear from the opening bell that a blowout wasn't happening. Whatever Les Miles' teams lack in discipline and precision, they make up for it in tenacity and a scary amount of skill. Every time one of those long, lanky receivers (who LSU apparently builds on an assembly line) touches the ball, it seems like he's a threat to take it the distance. From any spot on the field.
There's no other way to say it: LSU dominated the first half. It might not have shown up in the final statistics, but everything about the first half of play leaned in the visitors' favor. They were driving the ball, had our defense confused, had our offense looking a step slow. Make no mistake: the game was there to be lost.
But, just like what happened in Week 1 vs. Virginia Tech, this team found ways to hang around, kept things close until the fourth ... and then it happened.



There's a fantastic little nugget buried at the end of Dennis Dodd's piece about Julio Jones that ran late last week on CBS Sports. In it, Julio recounts the recruiting pitch Nick Saban used that brought him to Tuscaloosa in the first place. Think hard enough, and you can almost hear Saban saying the words:
"We're going to win," the coach said, "with or without you."

Clearly, Saban wasn't interested in catering to the dude's ego — he wanted him to know he could either be a part of something special, or he could watch it from somewhere else. It's been clear all season that the offense won't cater to Julio's ego, either: even Greg McElroy made it clear during the season that he wouldn't force the ball to his star wideout just to make him happy (even though he still does, occasionally — more on that in a second).
Early on in the fourth quarter, an inexcusable error by (you guessed it) Julio cost Alabama a real shot at 7 points — faced with 3rd-and-goal at the 2-yard line, down 15-10 with a running game that was dominating at the time, the Tide brought in its jumbo package to pound out two more yards and re-take the lead.
Only Julio didn't get off the field — instead, Alabama broke the huddle with 12 players, took a 5-yard flag and wound up settling for 3 points. On the television replay, you could see Saban — the same guy who challenged Jones two years ago — spike his headset furiously, asking how someone who should know better could commit such an egregious mistake.
Let's just say, it appears our boy got the message.



Just like with that victory 10 years ago, there remains work to be done, this team is going back to the SEC Championship Game. To face Florida again. Also, there's still work to be done, just as there was 10 years ago (and last year, for that matter). This trip to Starkville could end the party prematurely, no doubt.
Even so, we should all drink in the moment. If we've learned nothing else from the last 10 years, it's that you never know when you'll get back to the top.

Some other thoughts ...
— Of course, the talk this week will once again be about officiating, after Patrick Peterson's (apparent) interception inexplicably didn't hold up on replay. I have no explanation and no defense — it was a poor call in the midst of a season that's been (unfortunately) marked by poor calls.
I will cede the following point to ATVS, however:
But when you just watch the fourth quarter, it's impossible to blame this on one call. LSU went into the tank when the game mattered most. No first downs in the fourth quarter. The officials didn't do that, LSU's offense did. Julio Jones getting a long TD catch off a screen pass untouched, that wasn't the officials doing, that was the LSU defense.

— I'm enjoying the Greg McElroy love as much as everyone else this week, obviously, but can we tone it down just a little? Maybe 12 played better this week than he did in October, but he wasn't exactly Tom Brady out there, either.
In order, McElroy missed at least three passes that should've been touchdowns (to Marquis Maze, Julio & Brad Smelley); threw a terrible interception right before halftime (Maze, once again, was wide open at the goal line) and didn't get the ball out of his hands in time to avoid a killer safety. Oh, and let's not forget that the "should've been iNT incompletion," in which McElroy stupidly tried to force a sideline pass in between three defenders.
I'll give the kid credit, obviously: the touchdown pass to Hanks was fantastic, and he did make several big throws down the stretch. He's not a bad quarterback. I'm just not ready to kiss him on the mouth because he played "average" on the big stage. Also, he runs like a girl. That's disconcerting. Brodie Croyle is embarrassed by McElroy's scrambling ability.
— Better than average: Leigh Tiffin. All comparisons to Ryan Pflugner are officially shelved. For good.
(Note: I don't know what it looked like in other parts of the stadium, but from Section N-6, that kick appeared to hang in the air for an hour. I took three swigs off the bottle of Crown from the LSU fan sitting next to me in the time it took that kick to clear the cross bar. And I'm partially kidding.)
— Speaking of LSU fans, the vibe from those guys was totally different this time around from 2007. I think they're finally starting to come down off the Nick Saban thing. Kinda.
— Les Miles' famed "injury timeout" tactic is starting to get a little transparent. Just saying.
— Here's how good Marcel Dareus is: on LSU's last meaningful possession, I saw him lining up over the guard on third down and thought to myself, "He'll kill that guard." And he did. He really did.
— Still not sure what happened to Jordan Jefferson. On the replay, he looks fine. Also, can anyone figure out why Gary Crowton won't feed his running backs more? Do Crowton, Jim McElwain and Al Borges all attend the same offensive philosophy classes? "Over-thinking, 101?"
— Special teams play yesterday was fantastic on both sides. LSU's punting unit killed two kicks inside Alabama's 5-yard line, and eliminated Javier Arenas as a threat on all but one kickoff return. As for Alabama, in addition to Tiffin, the kickoff coverage unit finally rounded into form — I don't think LSU started a possession beyond its own 30 off a 'Bama kickoff. Well done, guys.
— On a critical fourth down last night, needing a half-yard ... Alabama ran Mark Ingram out of the Wildcat. Hey, I'm glad it worked. Just don't think for a minute that i thought that was a great idea.
(My brother Whit's take: "I mean ... I didn't really have words ... for how I felt about that.")
— It was quite an experience for my wife's uncle Larry, who brought a date with him all the way down from Illinois for the weekend. It's not everyday you get to see 95,000 screaming people shoved into the same space for four-plus hours. I like to think they enjoyed themselves.
I hope so, anyway. You never know when you'll be back.

Friday, November 6, 2009

Friday newspaper selections

Editor's Note: This is the selection column that runs every Saturday in The Daily Home. Since it doesn't make the front page — what with the high school running out front and all — I don't they'll mind much. Have fun at my expense.

An old sports axiom holds that most coaches would “rather be lucky than good.”

The truth is slightly more complicated — the best teams in sports, year in and year out, are lucky AND good. And those at the bottom rung, typically, are the opposite.
Take last Saturday’s Auburn-Ole Miss game, for example, a game I used to load up against the Tigers, who for the three weeks previous looked tired, beat-up and fading quickly.

It didn’t look good for Auburn, for all the reasons I listed in last week’s column: early start time, surging Ole Miss, fading Auburn. In fact, it looked like Auburn was set to enter its “Amen Corner” of Georgia and Alabama with four losses, easily.
So what happened? Well, the homestanding Tigers looked every bit the part of a fading group early on, failing to recover an early fumble and then quickly surrendering a touchdown drive.

But Auburn weathered the early storm, keeping Ole Miss off the board the rest of the half (and let the record show the Rebels missed two very makeable field goals to kill two promising drives). The Tigers also put together some offense of their own, and led 10-7 going to intermission.

Energized, they finally caught a few breaks. A tipped pass led to an pick-six; they hit some big plays on offense; suddenly, it was 31-7, Auburn. Even when Ole Miss climbed back into the game on a big play, the ensuing extra point went back for two points in favor of the Tigers, enough to discombobulate the Rebels (overrated, yes, but still dangerous).

Final score: Auburn 33, Ole Miss 20.

It’s only fair for Auburn to get a break or two, obviously. A season ago, they didn’t get a single bounce to go their way, suffering key injuries and infighting on their way to a 5-7 nightmare.

These things have a way of coming back around, obviously. The best teams are talented, of course, but they always have a way of figuring out how to get by when things don’t go their way — just ask Alabama, a team that did nearly everything wrong two weeks ago vs. Tennessee and still survived.

Auburn isn’t one of the best, but they might be headed that way in a season or two. Time will tell.

Less lucky: this picks column, which finished 3-2 last week, an inexcusable mark considering I picked Georgia to beat the line vs. Florida. I should be fined, just for that.

For the season, we’re at 18-28. As always, home teams are in caps.

AUBURN (-35.5) over Furman: Notable things about Furman:
• It’s the alma mater of Michael Corleone.
• Its nickname has something to do with a Knight.
• Its students chant “F-U!” at big I-AA games.
(Did that make this game interesting? No? Well, I tried.)

ARKANSAS (-7) over South Carolina: A toss-up, really — the Gamecocks looked genuinely terrible last week in Knoxville (though not as bad as those black unis, as if Tennessee wasn’t loathsome enough), and looks to be fading. So I’ll take the home team, which had a week off last week (technically they played a game, but come on) and is due for a rebound after bombing miserably in Oxford two weeks ago.

FLORIDA (-35) over Vanderbilt: OK, so there’s no excuse for Brandon Spikes pulling a Roddy Piper on Georgia’s Washaun Ealey last week in Jacksonville. But it’s worth noting that the Bulldogs were pushing, shoving, chirping and cheap-shotting, from pretty much the opening whistle. So it’s not implausible that someone could lose his head, even someone with a record as impeccable as Spikes.

Memphis (+26) over TENNESSEE: Because I can’t just pick all home favorites in this thing.

ALABAMA (-7.5) over LSU: You won’t find a weirder coaching dichotomy than the one between LSU’s Les Miles and Alabama’s Nick Saban: Saban coaches a robotic, well-disciplined football team that operates with ridiculous amounts of precision; Miles operates like a guy at a blackjack table with an 18 showing, defiantly sneering at the dealer, “Hit me again.”
Both these guys are good. Both these guys are lucky. When in doubt, I’ll take the team that’s playing at home.

Friday: old-school Webb, plus links

Today's Derek Webb song: "Center Aisle," an extraordinarily sad song he wrote on what (I believe, and if I'm wrong Peter will correct me) Caedmons Call's first album. It appears, from the video, that it's been so long since he's sung it, he forgets the lyrics. Which is always fun.
(Note: Do not listen to this song if you're feeling lousy about yourself. You will feel worse. Just trust me.)



An omen for this weekend at LSU? I doubt it. But we'll keep our fingers crossed, regardless.
— Your standard preview links, courtesy RBR, BSR and the Crimson Elephant.
— The talk for the last two weeks, obviously, has been the Alabama offense, or lack of it. Crimson Daddy offered some thoughts from a self-scouting of the Tide this week (briefly breaking up the string of "OMG TENNESSEE RULZ!!!1" posts at 3SiB). For his part, coach Saban promised changes in Alabama's red zone approach, perhaps changes that include "don't throw two f*cking fade passes when it's 2nd-and-1 at the 4-yard line" (by the way, Jim? ... Noel Mazzone called to say he thought those play-calls were awesome).
— In that same vein, here are your expected "Julio Jones needs to be more involved" links: Dennis Dodd says Alabama needs him to get rolling (thanks Dennis); Chris Low basically says the same thing; and Patrick Peterson runs his yap about covering Jones. My favorite quote:
"
(Julio) is a talented guy, but we're probably the best secondary in the country."

Awesome.
— Other than Peterson, this week has been relatively quiet between Alabama & LSU, with both sides expressing mutual admiration. Of course, that hasn't stopped LSU students and their predictably lame "let's call their cell phones and tell them they suck!" pregame tactic, which is tired and didn't even work that well to begin with.
Tower of Bammer does have some fun with LSU, polling real dogs for some trash talk.
— A few other links related to actual football: PMR (who triumphantly returned recently) studies Alabama's kick coverage, and notes we've actually improved a little since September.
Meanwhile, Scarbinsky & Mark Ingram have a Heisman nomination: Rolando McClain.

— A storyline one state over this week has been Mark Richt's status as a "hotseat" candidate. In a rare moment of prescience, Capstone Report pens an excellent letter to the UGA faithful (apparently, he can be thoughtful and rational as long as the subject doesn't involve Auburn).
My thoughts on Richt are myriad. I can boil them down to two:
• UGA brass will, of course, have to consider the big picture of the Richt tenure before making any kind of decision related to the head coach: specifically, the last 9 seasons at UGA are among the best in school history (as we noted in our examination of the decade). In terms of rivalries under Richt, the 'Dawgs are 6-3 vs. Tennessee, 8-1 vs. South Carolina, 5-3 vs. Auburn and 7-1 vs. Georgia Tech (still to be played, obviously). Also remember during this time period: Richt has represented the program well off the field, hasn't run afoul of the NCAA and has managed to throw the media off his scent in terms of the players he recruits (thugs, with only a few exceptions). The bugaboo on the field, obviously, is still Florida — the Gators submarined three separate UGA runs at a championship ('02, '03 and '05) and won two of their own in the same time period, thrashing Georgia in the process.
• As important as the past, however, is the present & immediate future: at this moment, it appears Alabama, Florida, Tennessee and Georgia Tech (and possibly Auburn) have passed Richt's program at UGA, both in terms of recruiting and national relevance. Even more disconcerting, this story that came out this week, identifying UGA's recruits as the biggest busts in the nation. The problem isn't talent, which means the problem must be ... you know. And so the question surface, if not at the end of this season (and remember, Georgia still has to play Auburn and Tech, two teams that look infinitely better than them right now) then possibly after the next (assuming things don't change): cut ties with the guy now, or give him a chance to right the ship? As Capstone says, if you trust him to right the ship, then by all means, keep him. If you don't trust him completely, go the Shula route — get rid of him now and start making plans for the future. There's no other way.

— Just to twist the knife in UGA fans a little more, I'm posting this link to a Barnhart column, in which he envisions the possibility of GEORGIA TECH playing for the BCS title.



You're welcome, Peter.

— Wait, we have basketball! Alabama opened its season Wednesday with a thrashing of Montevallo. Bama Hoops has its thoughts on the debut.
It's likely we'll have a little more hoop later this weekend — Whit's due to post some basketball-related thoughts at some point, and hopefully throughout the season.
Until then, Roll Tide.

Thursday, November 5, 2009

Thursday lines: insert something witty

I'll be honest: I stayed up late last night watching the Yankees clinch another World Series title and didn't put much though into today's edition of Thursday lines. I didn't even realize who was playing tonight until I checked the centsports.com board today.
Anyway, here's a "hype" video my brother Whit shared with me today, just for fun.



(Note: While we're on the subject, someone in the youtube overlord community got to our friend TideRolls67, took away all his awesome videos down & suspended his account. Ya know what, youtube? There was no need for that. There really wasn't.)

On then, with the lines.

Thursday
Virginia Tech (-13) at East Carolina
(Note: Boise State is visiting La. Tech Friday, but that game appears to have come off the board.)

Saturday
Purdue (+6.5) at Michigan
Syracuse (+21.5) at Pittsburgh
Maryland (+6.5) at North Carolina St.
Louisville (+20) at West Virginia
(Note: Remember when this game was the premier game in college football? It wasn't so long ago, really.)
Northwestern (+16.5) at Iowa
South Carolina (+7) at Arkansas
Texas A&M (-3) at Colorado
(Note: Two programs going in opposite directions. If the Buffaloes haven't completely quit on Dan Hawkins in 2009, then maybe I'm blind.)
Baylor (+14) at Missouri
BYU (-13) at Wyoming
Ohio St. (+4) at Penn St.
Oklahoma St. (-7.5) at Iowa St.
Army (+17) at Air Force
Duke (+10) at North Carolina
(Note: If Duke makes a bowl game, in the same season Alabama wins the SEC & BCS championships, we may have to sedate Ken Smith, just to be safe.)
LSU (+7.5) at Alabama
(Note: This opened at 10 and has steadily come down.)
Oregon (-7) at Stanford
TCU (-24.5) at San Diego St.
Memphis (+26) at Tennessee
Vanderbilt (+35) at Florida
Florida St. (+8.5) at Clemson
USC (-10) at Arizona St.
Oklahoma (-6) at Nebraska

Tuesday, November 3, 2009

of 'Bama, LSU & contrasting styles

The alleged "rivalry" between Alabama & LSU, of course, went to another level prior to the 2007 season, when Nick Saban came to Tuscaloosa. It cut LSU fans because, of course, Saban is the man most responsible for LSU's claim to SEC Program of the Decade. More than that, though, Saban's arrival in Tuscaloosa meant, essentially, that Alabama was done screwing around with "feel-good" hires — Mal Moore and the Board of Trustees essentially said, "Screw it, let's throw a ton of money at at a proven hired gun and fix this thing for good." Saban's hire at Alabama meant the Tide would no longer lose out on recruiting battles in-state (like they did with, say, Jamarcus Russell) and that they would no longer be out-prepared, either mentally or physically. Party time in Baton Rouge, essentially, ended when Nick Saban showed up here.

Few coaching dichotomies are as fascinating as the one between Les Miles and Nick Saban. We've covered this before, but Nick Saban's teams, when they're playing the way he wants are a boring lot: they pound the football, play solid, well-disciplined defense, don't turn the ball over and slowly kill your will to resist them.
It's been most evident in big games away from home — a season ago, traveled to Arkansas, Georgia, Tennessee and LSU. In each of those games, Alabama followed the same formula: take an early lead; weather the storm from the opposition; extend the lead; extend it a little more; leave town with an easy win (note: Nick Saban said this week that he wants to throw the ball downfield more for more big plays, which could just be for fun). This season, thus far they've been to Kentucky and Ole Miss, winning by a combined score of 50-23. They just don't let the other team's crowd get into it. Ever.
Just in case you think this might be confined to his tenure at Alabama, think back to Saban's best LSU teams: 2003 (13-1, national champs) and 2004 (9-3). That 2003 team was an ideal Saban team: no-name quarterback (Matt Mauck, and yes, I had to look that up); big tailbacks, mean, physical defense. They were challenged exactly four times all season, losing at home to Ron Zook's Florida team in a game in which they turned the football over three times.
The game that stands out among those is their trip to Tuscaloosa that November, to play an outmanned Alabama team that was a) suffering from a rash of injuries both physical and mental (including quarterback Brodie Croyle, playing with a separated left shoulder and broken ribs); b) playing with Mike Shula as its head coach. Alabama fans wanted desperately to play spoiler for LSU's season, to give them some kind of hope in the midst of that dreadful run.
So what happened? LSU scored 10 first-quarter points, outgained 'Bama by more than a 2-1 margin and simply would not let the Tide or its one-armed quarterback breathe all night. The final score: LSU 27, Alabama 3. No drama involved. I remember walking out of Bryant-Denny Stadium thinking I'd never seen a more complete whipping of an Alabama team than the one LSU delivered.
It's great if you dig well-played, well-coached football, but its not entertaining if you're a casual fan. .

Les Miles' LSU teams, on the other hand, are nothing if not stress-inducing, something that began before he even coached a game in Baton Rouge — the team's 2005 opener against North Texas got postponed because Hurricane Katrina. When the team finally did open its season, it was in a "home game" in Tempe, Ariz., and Jamarcus Russell had to throw a picture-perfect pass across his body to pull out a 35-31 victory in that one.
In fact (and I've written about this before) maybe the ultimate Les Miles game happened when his 2007 team — also the eventual national champs — came to Tuscaloosa to play another outmanned Alabama team (this one wasn't poorly coached, but LSU had an advantage in talent at every position on the field except for perhaps punter).
Once again, there was a national audience, tuning in for the drama of the Miles-Saban dynamic; once again, Alabama fans were desperately looking for a reason to believe and at a fever pitch.
So what happened this time around? LSU once again scored 10 first-quarter points, once again outgained Alabama by a 2-1 margin ... only this time, they had to score 17 fourth-quarter points to rally for a 41-34 victory.
How is that possible? Well, LSU was flagged an incredible 14 times for 130 yards. That's ridiculous. And the Tigers turned the football over three times, all of which led to 'Bama scores. Furthermore, in a tie game midway through the fourth quarter, um, this happened.



Now, why under God's heaven was LSU kicking to the most dangerous player on Alabama's team in that situation? You got me. But since it worked out and the Tigers won the game — thanks to a defensive lapse by Arenas on the ensuing drive and John Parker Wilson's bone-headed fumble — and the Tigers eventually won the SEC & National championships (with 2 losses, thanks to a curious set of circumstances too lengthy to describe here), Les Miles didn't have to answer questions about those things, just like he didn't have to answer for why he went for it on fourth down repeatedly down the stretch vs. Florida (when everything about conventional wisdom screamed "Punt the ball and hold them") or why he bled the clock dry and threw an inexplicable pass into the end zone vs. Auburn (when a field goal would've won him the game).
It keeps happening for Miles in 2009: the Tigers had their backs against the wall twice this season — against Mississppi State and Georgia, both on the road — and managed to pull it out both times. If two things happen differently that day — like, State gains a yard at the goal line or UGA doesn't get flagged for a celebration foul after its go-ahead TD — then this upcoming Saturday is another big SEC game in Tuscaloosa. Instead, it's the Game of the Century. Again.
My favorite analogy for Les Miles: a guy sitting at a blackjack table, staring at a 19, saying, "Hit me. Hit me again." If you do that, and the dealer turns over an Ace, and then you say, "Hit me AGAIN," and the dealer turns over ANOTHER ace ... does that make you a genius? Or just insanely lucky?

Obviously, I'm biased on the subject. But I'm betting on the guy who built both championship teams, and is in the process of building another. Then again, it's hard to bet against a guy who's proven time and again that he's one of the luckiest (expletives) on the planet.